Modeling uncertainty in partial equilibrium models through a panar VAR

Sanjuán López, Ana Isabel2015-09-222015-09-222015X Congreso de la Asociación Española de Economía Agraria. Alimentación y territorios sostenibles desde el sur de Europa: Córdoba, 9 - 11 septiembre de 2015, p. 321-326978-84-9048-383-1http://hdl.handle.net/10532/3047A Panel VAR model is proposed to estimate the underlying model that governs the baseline projections on macroeconomic drivers in Partial Equilibrium (PE) models. The panel VAR is then used to provide forecasts and a confidence interval by Monte Carlo simulation methods, that further on will feed the PE model to obtain alternative future paths for agricultural marketseneconomía agroalimentariaModeling uncertainty in partial equilibrium models through a panar VARProceedings PaperModelos matemáticosTécnicas de predicciónMétodos estadísticos