Analyzing the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in Southeast France using a process-based model

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dc.bibliographicCitation.stpage122470es_ES
dc.bibliographicCitation.titleJournal Of Environmental Managementen
dc.bibliographicCitation.volume370es_ES
dc.contributor.authorVercambre, Gilleses_ES
dc.contributor.authorMirás Avalos, José Manueles_ES
dc.contributor.authorJuillion, Perrinees_ES
dc.contributor.authorMoradzadeh, Mostafaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorPlenet, Danieles_ES
dc.contributor.authorValsesia, Pierrees_ES
dc.contributor.authorMemah, Mohamed-Mahmoudes_ES
dc.contributor.authorLaunay, Mariees_ES
dc.contributor.authorLesniak, Vincentes_ES
dc.contributor.authorCheviron, Brunoes_ES
dc.contributor.authorGenard, Micheles_ES
dc.contributor.authorLescourret, Francoisees_ES
dc.coverage.spatialFranciaes_ES
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-10T08:16:37Z
dc.date.available2024-10-10T08:16:37Z
dc.date.issued2024es_ES
dc.date.updated2024-09-18T08:01:07Z
dc.description.abstractWe know that fruit production, especially in the Mediterranean, will need to adapt to climate change to ensure the sustainability of fruit tree-based agroecosystems. However, there is a lack of evidence on the long-term effects of this change on sustainability indicators. To fill this gap, we used a fruit tree model, QualiTree, to analyze the impacts ofclimate change on the ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in south-eastern France. To do this, a blooming model was parameterized to simulate blooming date on the basis of climate data, and QualiTree was supplemented with a model of nitrogen processes in the tree and a soil module describing resource input (irrigation, mineral and organic fertilization), transfer in the soil (water and nitrogen) and metabolic transformation-immobilization (mineralization, (de)nitrification). This type of extension makes it possible to simulate a wide array of ecosystem services, including C sequestration, nitrate leaching and nitrous oxide emissions. The model was compared with data from an apple orchard in southeastern France. The predicted daily mean and variability over time of fruit growth, composition and soil water content were consistent with observed data. QualiTree was then used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the ecosystem services supplied by apple orchards. For this purpose, weather variables from 2020 to 2100 were generated for three contrasted greenhouse gas emission scenarios, and simulations were performed under two irrigation schemes (no restriction and restricted use of water). Model outputs indicated that, on average, marketable apple yields would increase until 2050 and then subsequently decrease. The fruit refractometric index, an indicator of fruit quality, was projected to sharply decrease with the intensity of climate change. Ecosystem services such as C sequestration by the orchard will decrease with climate change severity, mainly due to a higher mineralization of soil humus, whereas N2O emissions will increase with larger denitrification rates. Soil water availability, fertility, drainage and leaching were predicted to depend more on the irrigation strategy than on climate change severity. The new functions performed in QualiTree broadened its predictive capabilities and allowed for a better understanding of ecosystem service delivery in fruit orchards under varying climate conditions.en
dc.description.statusPublishedes_ES
dc.identifier.citationVercambre, G., Mirás-Avalos, J. M., Juillion, P., Moradzadeh, M., Plenet, D., Valsesia, P., Memah, M.-M., Launay, M., Lesniak, V., Cheviron, B., Genard, M., & Lescourret, F. (2024). Analyzing the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in Southeast France using a process-based model. Journal of Environmental Management, 370, 122470. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122470
dc.identifier.issn03014797
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10532/7271
dc.language.isoenes_ES
dc.relation.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122470es_ES
dc.relation.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122470es_ES
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0 Attribution 4.0 Internationales_ES
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject.agrovocCambio climáticoes
dc.subject.agrovocMaluses
dc.subject.agrovocServicios de los ecosistemases
dc.subject.agrovocSecuestro de carbonoes
dc.subject.agrovocÓxido nitrosoes
dc.subject.agrovocLixiviaciónes
dc.subject.otherCambio climático
dc.subject.otherLixiviación
dc.subject.otherMALUS
dc.subject.otherÓxido Nitroso
dc.subject.otherSecuestro De Carbono
dc.subject.otherServicios De Los Ecosistemas
dc.titleAnalyzing the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in Southeast France using a process-based modelen
dc.typeJournal Contribution*
dc.type.refereedRefereedes_ES
dc.type.specifiedArticlees_ES

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